Before people decide to lynch me at dawn, please allow me to explain. I am a fan of Oakland’s Billy Beane and the way he does business; IE trading high almost every time and getting good value in return.
With that type of strategy… would you or the Red Sox, consider trading Jon Lester once and for all?
I don’t believe Sox G.M. Ben Cherington would actually trade Lester as Jon has always been one of his favorites. But let’s look at this logically.
Last season Tampa traded James Shields (+) to Kansas City not because they didn’t like him but because they want to remain within their team’s budget and with Shields due for a payday, the Rays felt it best to move him while they could. *The same thing may happen again with David Price.
Regardless you have to look at the return that T.B. got for Shields (+ Wade Davis). Say what you want about Wil Myers and or Jake Odorizzi (plus two other prospects) but that is a pretty good return for a pitcher(s) that has never been an Ace or had good Playoff success.
So with Lester’s dominate Playoff performances in hand, what could the Red Sox expect to get in return? Could they get the next Mike Trout…?
In my opinion, if Lester won’t sign for a home town discount (let’s say $17-18M) then I would trade him and reap the rewards.
It has been said that Jon would be looking at $20M or more per season. I wouldn’t pay that (ever) and the reason why is because Jon has a mediocre to poor track record during the regular season over the last few years.
>2012- 4.82ERA/1.38WHIP, 2013- 3.75ERA/1.29WHIP.
He may be outstanding in the Playoffs but you have to get there first.
The Sox have a couple of solid prospects coming (Workman and Ranaudo) but they also have a number of veterans set to leave after this coming season (Peavy and Dempster). So the decision isn’t exactly an easy one. But would you pay Jon Lester whatever he wants?
Or would you trade him and hope to fill some of your present or future needs and then move on?