It’s the final day before Patriots training camp begins, which means we’re going to focus our betting efforts on baseball today. The Red Sox return to action after an off day on Monday and their AL East rivals are playing as well, so there’s no shortage of betting opportunities today.
Here are our editors’ top betting picks for Tuesday.
Best Boston Betting Picks: July 25
Tyler Maher: Braves Moneyline @ Red Sox
The Red Sox have done a good job of beating up on bad teams lately, but their schedule is about to get much harder. That starts with the Braves coming to town on Tuesday for a quick two-game series.
At 64-34, Atlanta owns the best record in baseball right now. The Braves have also been exceptional on the road, going 32-15 away from home.
They’ve won three of their last four and send the always-reliable Charlie Morton to the bump. Morton’s 10-7 with a 3.36 ERA and a 9.8 K/9, including a 1.82 ERA in July.
Boston would kill for a starter like that, but the team doesn’t even know who it’s pitching today. That’s a dangerous proposition against an Atlanta offense that ranks third in MLB with 5.61 runs per game.
The Red Sox can hit, too (5.04 runs per game), but Morton should be able to keep them in check long enough for the Braves to pull out another win. We never love fading Boston at home, but it’s the right move here given the pitching uncertainty for the Sox.
Jason Schandl: Mets Runline vs Yankees
It’s a day that ends in “y”, so it’s a good day to fade the Yankees.
They finally won some games over the weekend, but you don’t exactly get a pat on the back for defeating the Kansas City Royals. They’re still just 4-5 since the All-Star break and 9-13 in July. They’ve also been an unprofitable team to bet on, both at home and on the road this season.
The Mets have been a big disappointment too, don’t get me wrong, but even they should be able to beat up on the Yanks in this spot.
Domingo German is on the mound, and there seems to be something wrong with him this season. It’s not just the jump in ERA (4.52 in 2023), but a jump in the alphabet soup of advanced ERA metrics (FIP, xFIP, xERA and SIERA all north of 4.00 as well) that stands out. And with Justin Verlander on the mound, the Mets have an obvious pitching edge.
When your offense is as bad as the Yankees’ has been (22nd in the MLB in wRC+ in July, slashing .232/.312/.398 as a team), you can’t afford to be on the wrong end of the pitching matchup.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.