The Chowder and Champions crew is back with betting advice after the weekend. Today, we’re looking at the Red Sox to rebound against the Royals and targeting another AL East team.
With that in mind, here are our editors’ best Boson betting picks for Aug. 7.
Best Boston Betting Picks: August 7
Tyler Maher: Red Sox Runline vs. Royals
After getting absolutely embarrassed (and swept) by the Blue Jays at Fenway over the weekend, the Red Sox get a bit of a reprieve on Monday. Not only are the hapless Royals coming to town, but Boston also has its ace Brayan Bello on the mound.
If anyone can stop our current skid, it’s Bello. He’s been rock-solid this year with an 8-6 record and a 3.79 ERA, plus the Sox are 12-6 in his starts.
The Royals, meanwhile, stumble into Fenway with the second-worst record in baseball at 36-77. Bello will match up with Cole Ragans, who’s 3-6 with a 4.66 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP in 75 ⅓ career innings so far.
Ragans has been even worse on the road (0-3, 5.02 ERA), which doesn’t bode well for a guy who’s about to face one of the most prolific lineups in baseball this year.
As bad as the Red Sox have looked lately, they should bounce back and win this game easily. It helps that Kansas City has been atrocious against the runline all season (44-69 overall, 21-35 on the road), giving Boston a good chance to cover tonight.
Isaiah De Los Santos: Red Sox First Inning Run
After a terrible start to the month, the Red Sox get a gift of a series to begin this week. As Boston prepares to take on the lowly Royals, I’m looking at Alex Cora’s club to get off to a hot start.
Kansas City’s poor pitching corps was exactly what the Phillies needed to get their struggling offense back on track this past weekend. Philadelphia racked up 22 total runs across just three games, almost a third (7) of which came in just the first inning of those contests alone.
Now the Royals are set to start converted reliever Cole Ragans. He hasn’t made a start on the road all year, making this a delicious matchup for the Red Sox to exploit. I like the chances of Boston’s bats waking up early in this one.
Jason Schandl: Jays-Guardians Under
I know Red Sox fans don’t even want to think about the Toronto Blue Jays right now, but one of the best bets in the AL East today thankfully doesn’t actually involve picking them to win.
The Jays are Guardians have been two of the most frequently disappointing offenses (relative to expectations, at least) in the MLB this season, and that’s reflected in the betting markets.
They’ve both seen the under hit in at least 57% of their games this season, which lands them both in the top-four for teams to hit the under most often. It doesn’t always mean they fizzle, but it does mean that they consistently fail to live up to expectations.
Hyun-Jin Ryu’s first start of the season didn’t go well for the Jays, but his velocity and control were fine so I wouldn’t bank on that being an ill omen of things to come.This is also a perfect get-right spot, as he’s up against a Guardians lineup that owns the MLB’s second-worst wRC+ against left-handed pitching on the year.
I can’t stomach betting the Jays to win this one, but that’s okay because the under offers better value anyway.
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