After suffering two close losses at home to begin the season, the Patriots hit the road for their first away game in Week 3. They’ll travel to the Meadowlands to face the Aaron Rodgers-less Jets, who sit at 1-1 after splitting their first two games of the year.
Despite opening the season 0-2 and being on the road, New England is still favored in Week 3, but not by nearly as big a margin as you’d hope to see.
Patriots vs. Jets Week 3 Opening Odds
This stings. The Jets are missing their starting quarterback and just had an absolutely embarassing 20-point blowout loss in the first game without him. But the Pats are still only barely projected to edge out their first win of the season here.
Based on the one-sided nature of this division rivalry, however, the Patriots deserve to be much more than measly 2-point favorites.
For starters, New England has absolutely owned Zach Wilson throughout his career. In four games against the Patriots so far, Wilson is 0-4 with a horrific 50.9% completion rate, a 50.6 quarterback rating and a 2:7 TD/INT ratio.
Based on how Wilson has played since stepping in for Rodgers, there’s no reason to expect anything different in Week 3. The 24-year-old already leads the NFL with 4 interceptions and has completed just 54.2% of his passes. He’s been one of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL since debuting in 2021 with a 55.1% completion rate and more interceptions (22) than touchdowns (17), so New England’s defense should feast.
And feast they will. While the Patriots’ offense has been uneven in the early going, the defense has played much better, holding the high-flying Philadelphia Eagles and Miami Dolphins — two of the best offenses in the NFL — to a combined 50 points and 640 total yards over the first two weeks. New York managed just 32 points and 504 total yards of offense over the first two weeks combined, so expect New England to have its best defensive showing yet. Bill Belichick always makes Wilson’s life hell, and this week shouldn’t be any different.
Belichick doesn’t just own Wilson, either — it’s the entire Jets franchise. New York hasn’t beaten New England in nearly eight years, since Dec. 27, 2015. The Patriots have won 14 straight games against their AFC East foes since then, making this one of the most lopsided rivalries in the NFL.
New England will win on Sunday, and it’s going to be by a heck of a lot more than 2 points. Grab this line will you can.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.