The bye week couldn’t come at a better time for the New England Patriots, who have sustained numerous injuries over the last few weeks. While this time will allow the players to rest and recover, it will also give the coaching staff a chance to review the team’s performance and make adjustments moving forward.
Although they sit atop the AFC with an 11-2 record, head coach Mike Vrabel must consider making some serious changes to the lineup if they’re to make a deep postseason run. With that in mind, these three players have entered the bye week on thin ice and must improve their play as Vrabel and staff mull potential changes.
1. Christian Elliss
Christian Elliss’ performance last week against the New York Giants was the prime example of why the Patriots matched the Las Vegas Raiders’ offer sheet in the offseason. Elliss was everywhere, making explosive tackles from left to right and making his presence felt on defense and special teams.
However, Elliss has struggled with consistency this season and hasn’t proven he can be relied on. He’ll have games where he looks like the reincarnation of Ray Lewis, and then he’ll have games where he’s almost unplayable. While he’s been great rushing the passer, earning a 72.9 pass rush grade per Pro Football Focus, he’s a liability in coverage.
His 51.5 coverage grade ranks 54th out of 84 linebackers, allowing 24 receptions on 27 targets for 245 receiving yards. Not only has he been underwhelming in coverage, but Elliss hasn’t been effective against the run, earning a 57.7 run grade, which ranks 63rd.
With Elliss’ continued inconsistencies and failure to stand out, the Patriots could turn to Marte Mapu, who’s made the most of his limited snaps. Elliss is on a short leash, and if he doesn’t perform well against the Buffalo Bills, the Patriots shouldn’t hesitate to insert Mapu.
2. Austin Hooper
Austin Hooper has been quiet this season, recording just 16 receptions for 213 yards and one touchdown. Last year, Hooper was more involved in the Patriots’ passing attack, recording 45 receptions for 476 yards and three touchdowns.
The reasoning behind his dip is multifactorial. For one, the Patriots’ offense is much better this year than it was last year, and the credit goes to offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels. In his scheme, McDaniels has used Hooper more as a pass blocker than a receiver in his air attack.
Compared to last year, Hooper’s pass-blocking percentage has jumped from 6.6% to 16.9%, the highest mark of his career. Another reason is that the Patriots are crowded with playmakers, and quarterback Drake Maye has been distributing touches among all his players.
Although Hooper has had opportunities and moments to shine, the manner in which he’s been utilized this season has played a big factor in his failures. While this can serve as an excuse for now, at some point, Hooper must give the Patriots some production.
Given his age and his status as a free agent after this season, the Patriots will likely move on from him unless he gives them something in the ensuing weeks. The Patriots have been lucky that fellow tight end Hunter Henry has been healthy this season, because if not, they would be screwed, having to rely on Hooper.
3. Jared Wilson
Although Jared Wilson is currently sidelined, he’s not getting a pass for being on thin ice. At no point this season has Wilson had a good showing. While he’s displayed few flashes, it’s evident that with his current play, the Patriots cannot afford to continue to play him to fast-track his development, as they risk putting Maye in harm’s way
Wilson’s 49.8 PFF grade ranks 68th out of 79 guards, whereas his 44.8 pass block grade ranks 72nd. He hasn’t stood out in any area, and if he hadn’t played in McDaniels’ scheme, things could’ve been a lot worse. However, things could go south for Wilson if backup guard Ben Brown continues to string together solid performances in his place.
Although he had two penalties, Brown played well, earning a 76.9 grade, which tops Wilson's best-performing game all season. If Wilson is a no-go for their upcoming game against the Bills, and Brown had another solid outing, expect the Patriots to continue to rely on the hot hand.
Not only would this be bad for Wilson now, but it could also likely end his time at left guard for the foreseeable future.