There's nothing pretty about the New England Patriots right now. Not their record, not their offensive play and definitely not their injury situation. But winning ugly is still winning, especially in the betting world.
The Pats might not excite fans with what they do in Week 5 against the New Orleans Saints, but bettors can cash in on the game at WynnBET all the same.
Patriots vs Saints Same-Game Parlay: Patriots -1.5 & Under 40.5 (+260)
There are six teams in the NFL that have not covered a single spread yet in 2023. There’s also only one team in the NFL to have the Under hit in all four games.
The Saints fall on both lists.
It's not like the Patriots have been great against the spread either (1-3), though the Under has hit consistently for them (3 times in 4 games).
So the trends are on our side with this bet for sure, but let's look a little closer at why you should expect those trends to continue in this specific matchup.
These are two of the worst offensive teams in the NFL. Pro Football Focus has them ranked 24th (New Orleans) and 26th (New England) in offensive grade. They also rank 25th (Patriots) and 29th (Saints) in yards per play. They rank 23rd (New Orleans) and 31st (New England) in percentage of drives that end in points.
But that’s totally flipped on defense. PFF has them both as top-10 units on that side of the ball. They both allow bottom-eight marks in yards per play to opponents, so there's a good chance we see a low-scoring slugfest here.
And why the Patriots -1.5? As you can see in the stats above, this is a pretty evenly matched contest. Neither team has a clear advantage on either side of the ball. And while Bill Belichick has made some questionable coaching decisions lately, he's still an edge for New England in a close matchup like this. The Pats are also at home, which gives them an extra boost as well.
There's not better place to back your hometown Patriots than at your hometown sportsbook, so make sure to sign up for WynnBET before kickoff!
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.